Friday 30th December 2011. The perfect time to initiate a review of the past year. Society has it that Friday nights dictate should be spent out on the piss, frequenting the local pub and overindulging in the pleasures that come with it. Bollocks to that. Armed with a laptop and a bottle of Jack Daniel’s I’m going to attempt to review the year. This might be vaguely entertaining, it might not. We’ll see.
Logic concludes that annual reviews are chronological. Yawn. We’ll be here all night and that’ll turn you to alcohol. And there is only space for one alcoholic on this blog and that’s me. So we’ll start with the most important political ‘event’ of the year; the Arab Spring.
Your standard isolationist, Daily Mail little Englander might disagree with that last contention, but for us muesli eating, Guardian reading (guilty on both charges) internationalists, the events of the Arab Spring represent the embodiment of 2011; a year of emancipation, a year of political maturation in the Middle East and the end for a brutal dictator in the form of Colonel Gaddafi.
The nature of Gaddafi’s downfall did leave me with a rather uncomfortable feeling. Whilst he was a foul and disgusting autocrat who had nothing but contempt for his fellow Libyans, one can’t help but feel that his grizzly end rather sullied the legitimacy of the rebels who stooped to cowardly tactics when they sodomised and brutalised a fellow human being, however despicable.
This aside the appetite for democracy, human rights and freedom in the Middle East is clearly fermenting day by day. It has always existed, but has never manifested itself in such a tangible way. I’ve never subscribed to the deeply patronising view held by many in the West that the people in the Middle East are not ready for democracy and it certainly isn’t in our interests anyway. You know, the sort of bollocks spouted by Niall Ferguson. This political revolution has been coming for a while. A cocktail of deprivation and suppression provided the environment within which rebel movements in Libya, Eygpt, Bahrain and Syria could thrive. Long may that continue.
In 2012, two challenges will need to be address by policy makers in the Middle East. Firstly, those states that are emerging from the throes of revolution will require a political settlement that satisfies the stakeholders within civil society. That is a huge challenge, Eygpt is testament to that. Libya will face similar challenges and it should be left to the peoples of those nations to face them. If Western support is requested, we should provide it, but not before. The delegitimisation of these movements due to clumsy policy making in the West should be avoided.
The second challenge relates to those states which seem to be tentatively headed for civil war, like Syria. May I be so bold as to suggest that Syria will not be the only state in the Middle East rife with division and conflict next year? There is latent political tension in many states, which show no signs of abating despite the hail of bullets raining down on the rebellious groupings. 2012 is the year for the Arab League to get its house in order. It’s reputation as a fora for demagogues, despots and dictators might not be entirely fair, but they haven’t helped themselves have they? Luckily for them, I’m here to help. My first suggestion goes as follows. Don’t send a team of observers into Syria lead by General Mohammed Ahmad Al Dabi who works for a man who is under indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for a most dubious human rights record. I mean it’s not difficult is it? If the Arab League does not work to resolve conflict in 2012, more blood will be shed in the name of autocracy.
So 2011 represent the year in which the seeds of democracy in the Middle East start to reap reward. 2012 will determine whether we will see long term foliage form or a withering on the vine.
Plenty happened domestically in 2011. We’ve had a Royal Wedding and riots. Both served to change my perceptions fundamentally. The former challenged my complacent republicanism. It is not often that a news item emanating out of the UK leads on news bulletins in the US and across the world. Britain is still trying to manage its relative decline on the world stage. An event of this cultural significance served to boost Britain’s standing on the world stage whilst boosting our economy. I’m not sure I’ll ever be comfortable with an unelected head of state in a mature liberal democracy, but for the time being I’m content to acknowledge the value the royal family provide. I’m sure the Queen and co are breathing a collective sigh of relief.
As a Londoner, albeit from Barnet which straddles the Hertfordshire border, I felt a profound sense of shock when the shooting of a man in Tottenham metamorphosed into a full scale riot. The violence seeped out from London, travelling to other major cities in the UK such as Manchester and Birmingham spreading fear across the UK. And for a few days it seemed like the police had lost control of our streets. Despite the social defragmentation, a silver lining did pierce through that most ominous cloud. Thousands of Londoners joined the clean up movement. Teams in Enfield, Hackney, Croydon and elsewhere cleared up the wreckage. This is terribly clichéd, but it did make me proud to be a Londoner. I have nothing more profound to add than that. Many commentators more qualified than me have produced some fine work on the significance of the riots. Head to those for something a little more profound.
Of course, plenty more happened over the year. Phone hacking, Osama Bin Laden dead, Oslo killings, IMF rape allegations, Occupy, the economy tanking and all that jazz, but I don’t have the energy to pretend to be a sage on all these issues. Head to the Guardian for fair and totally unbalanced coverage of the years (although I’d avoid Toynbee, who has clearly been at the Tuscan wine stowed away in her modest villa).
For me, 2011 will be primarily remembered as the year of revolution in the Middle East. With hope and trepidation we collectively dip our toes into the year 2012. Let’s hope it is a most prosperous year for all.
What about you? What resonates for you when you consider the last year? And what do you think the next year brings?
Answers on a postcard please.
